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MODEL PORTFOLIO THE GIST
NEWS AND FEATURES
Global Philippines Fine Living
INSIGHTS
INVESTMENT STRATEGY
Economy Stocks Bonds Currencies
THE BASICS
Investment Tips Explainers Retirement
WEBINARS
2024 Mid-Year Economi Briefing, economic growth in the Philippines
2024 Mid-Year Economic Briefing: Navigating the Easing Cycle
June 21, 2024
Investing with Love
Investing with Love: A Mother’s Guide to Putting Money to Work
May 15, 2024
retirement-ss-3
Investor Series: An Introduction to Estate Planning
September 1, 2023
View All Webinars
DOWNLOADS
grocery-2-aa
Economic Updates
Inflation Update: Target breached
April 7, 2026 DOWNLOAD
Container ship carrying container boxes import export dock with quay crane. Business commercial trade global cargo freight shipping logistic and transportation worldwide oversea concept. Generative AI
Economic Updates
Philippines Trade Update: Wider deficit on strong imports
March 27, 2026 DOWNLOAD
Frick collection with palm trees 
Economic Updates
Policy Rate Updates: Policy rate updates to reassure 
March 26, 2026 DOWNLOAD
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This week in the stock market
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Chart of the week as of April 13, 2026

Metrobank’s resilient fundamentals
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Metropolitan Bank & Trust Company (Metrobank) is positioned as a defensive name within the Philippine banking sector, anchored on its conservative balance sheet management and focus on asset quality.

In an environment marked by geopolitical uncertainty and slowing loan growth, Metrobank’s prudent approach to lending helps protect earnings and limit downside risks, making it relatively more resilient than peers during periods of macroeconomic stress.

The bank’s emphasis on sound credit underwriting has supported stable asset quality metrics, reducing the risk of sharp increases in non‑performing loans even as economic conditions remain uneven. At the same time, expectations of a pause in policy rate cuts could help sustain net interest margins, allowing Metrobank to preserve profitability despite moderating loan expansion. This balance between cautious growth and margin stability underpins the defensiveness of its earnings profile.

Beyond earnings stability, Metrobank offers income appeal through an attractive dividend yield, supported by consistent capital generation and a strong balance sheet. The combination of resilient fundamentals, relatively stable margins, and reliable dividend payouts reinforces the bank’s role as a defensive and income‑oriented holding, particularly for investors seeking shelter and steady returns amid a volatile and uncertain macroeconomic backdrop.

(Disclaimer: This is general investment information only and does not constitute an offer or guarantee, with all investment decisions made at your own risk. The bank takes no responsibility for any potential losses.)

Stock watch: Metrobank, Semirara, AEV
Makati cityscape at night with lights from buildings and cars.

For the first half of 2026, the outlook for Philippine equities remains defensive. Metrobank forecasts gross domestic product to grow 4.5% this year. Although, investors are expected to look past this and focus on persistent softness in corporate earnings.

The Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) is expected to hike the key policy rate to 4.75%, according to Metrobank forecasts. Monetary authorities’ shift from easing to tightening is driven by inflation concerns. The sharp increase in global crude prices is expected to spill over to domestic inflation through higher oil prices, and, ultimately, higher prices of goods and services. Meanwhile, Metrobank estimates the peso to depreciate to the 61 per dollar level.

In this environment, a defensive stance favors high-yielding stocks such as real estate investment trusts and utilities alongside companies with established earnings. Banks face a more measured outlook due to tapering loan growth and muted capital expenditures, shifting opportunities toward selective consumer lending pockets. The property sector remains a conviction pick supported by an improving fundamental outlook and attractive valuations.

Stock Call Index Weight Remarks
Metropolitan Bank & Trust Company (MBT) Overweight 4.03% Metrobank’s prudence on growth and asset quality highlights its defensiveness—an attractive quality amid geopolitical uncertainty, where loan growth is of concern. Also, the expected pause in rate cuts may support profit margins. With an appealing dividend yield, the company stands out as a preferred income play in the sector.
Semirara Mining and Power Corporation (SCC) Neutral 0.85% The company’s management is confident they can secure Semirara Island’s coal contract, supported by their mining expertise and experience. However, geopolitical tensions may raise fuel costs for operations. Trading on the electricity spot market is still suspended, capping any gains earned from its spot-exposed power generation segment.
Aboitiz Equity Ventures, Inc. (AEV) Underweight 2.02% Ongoing geopolitical tensions could weaken investor outlook and soften sentiment on conglomerates. In particular, investors may anticipate higher funding costs for AEV’s subsidiaries. The company is also at risk of removal from the Philippine Stock Exchange index, if it is unable to raise trading activity before the new ruling is implemented in August.
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